Tocantinópolis vs Araguacema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
PAL
1 - 2
TOC
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 0
INT
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAP
2 - 1
TOC
15%
18%
67%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 0
ARA
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
TOC
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Araguacema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
GUR
0 - 0
ARA
46%
22%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 1
TMI
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
BVI
2 - 1
ARA
12%
16%
72%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 0
ARA
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 1
TOC
28%
22%
50%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |