Tobol Kostanay vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
KAI
1 - 0
TOB
24%
27%
48%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TOB
6 - 0
AKZ
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
ORD
2 - 0
TOB
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TOB
1 - 0
IRT
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
TOB
0 - 1
TAR
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SHA
3 - 2
AST
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
AST
2 - 0
IRT
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2012 |
AST
2 - 0
SHA
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
SHA
2 - 1
AST
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TAR
1 - 1
AST
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |