Tobol Kostanay vs Astana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2011 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
74%
16%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
ZHE
4 - 1
TOB
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
FCI
3 - 2
TOB
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
TOB
0 - 0
ATY
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
TOB
3 - 2
ATY
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
AST
0 - 0
FCI
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
ATY
0 - 0
AST
34%
27%
39%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AST
5 - 1
KAI
73%
19%
8%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2011 |
AST
1 - 1
KAI
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
KAI
2 - 3
AST
23%
28%
50%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |