TJK Legion vs Alliance FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TJK Legion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
TJK
0 - 1
EMM
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 4
PAR
52%
22%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
NOM
0 - 2
TJK
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
TJK
1 - 1
SKA
32%
22%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
TDU
2 - 2
TJK
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Alliance FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
JKJ
0 - 1
NOM
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
TDU
2 - 0
JKJ
36%
24%
40%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 2
PAR
48%
23%
29%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
EMM
3 - 0
JKJ
66%
18%
15%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
JKJ
1 - 5
EMM
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -2 |