TJK Legion II vs Tartu Kalev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TJK Legion II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TAM
1 - 1
TJK
61%
20%
20%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LAH
0 - 1
TJK
41%
20%
39%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TJK
4 - 0
RAP
84%
10%
6%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 2
TJK
58%
20%
22%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
TJK
4 - 2
NOM
67%
16%
17%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 0
RAP
80%
12%
8%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
FAT
2 - 0
FLO
42%
21%
36%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FAT
1 - 2
TAM
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NOM
3 - 1
FAT
24%
19%
57%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 2
TJK
58%
20%
22%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -2 |