Polepy vs Velim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Polepy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HKI
6 - 1
TJP
51%
23%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
UNI
3 - 0
TJP
26%
23%
51%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TJP
3 - 1
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
JBN
0 - 2
TJP
44%
24%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
TJP
4 - 0
ADM
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Velim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCV
5 - 2
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 1
FCV
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCV
6 - 1
JBN
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ADM
1 - 1
FCV
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCV
2 - 0
TRU
54%
21%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |