Tirsense vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+78%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
RIB
2 - 1
TIR
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TIR
1 - 1
RIB
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
TIR
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TIR
2 - 0
MER
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 0
TIR
33%
28%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FAF
2 - 1
ADO
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FAF
2 - 1
MIR
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
RIB
2 - 1
FAF
27%
25%
48%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FAF
0 - 2
RIB
66%
20%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
FAF
34%
26%
39%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |