Buca FK vs Bursa Niluferspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Buca FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
KIR
2 - 0
TIR
25%
25%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
TIR
2 - 1
KIZ
50%
24%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DUZ
1 - 1
TIR
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TIR
2 - 0
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
TIR
2 - 0
CIZ
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bursa Niluferspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
BUR
2 - 2
ALT
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 0
SIL
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 0
BUR
35%
27%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 0
KIR
42%
27%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |