Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 2-11
Tiraspol vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
30.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tiraspol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2000 |
TIR
3 - 2
POL
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2000 |
ZIM
1 - 1
TIR
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2000 |
TIR
0 - 1
TIT
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2000 |
TIT
1 - 0
TIR
37%
27%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
TIR
3 - 1
EDU
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2000 |
CSK
0 - 0
LOV
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2000 |
LOV
3 - 2
CSK
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2000 |
CSK
3 - 0
BEL
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2000 |
BER
1 - 1
CSK
17%
25%
58%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
CSK
3 - 2
LSO
67%
18%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |