Tilford Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilford Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NOR
2 - 2
TIZ
16%
20%
64%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
TIZ
3 - 0
OLY
76%
14%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 2
TIZ
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 3
TIZ
11%
18%
72%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
TIZ
2 - 0
KIN
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 11 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 0
DEV
13%
17%
70%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
KIN
4 - 2
GLE
75%
14%
11%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
GLE
4 - 1
LAU
56%
19%
24%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 3
TIZ
11%
18%
72%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LAU
2 - 1
GLE
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |