Tilbury vs Whitehawk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
EAS
1 - 2
TIL
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
TIL
0 - 0
CTF
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WAL
3 - 0
TIL
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
TIL
2 - 2
BAS
73%
17%
11%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MAL
0 - 2
TIL
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Whitehawk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
WHI
3 - 0
THR
38%
25%
37%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CRA
2 - 2
WHI
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
LIT
0 - 1
WHI
79%
13%
9%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WHI
2 - 1
SIT
36%
26%
39%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
KSP
3 - 2
WHI
10%
14%
76%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | -1 |