Tilbury vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
43.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
TIL
3 - 0
SOH
49%
24%
27%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RED
2 - 1
TIL
35%
24%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
TIL
0 - 0
GRE
47%
24%
29%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2015 |
TIL
0 - 1
NEE
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
TIL
1 - 1
YEL
27%
25%
49%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 0
THU
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
THU
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
THU
0 - 2
YEL
43%
24%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
THA
2 - 2
THU
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BUR
1 - 3
THU
14%
18%
68%
|
35 | 14 | 21 | 0 |