Combined Counties League Essex Senior League Round 4

Tilbury vs Stanway Rovers FC analysis

Tilbury Stanway Rovers FC
25 ELO 21
-5.5% Tilt 2.8%
9770º General ELO ranking 9624º
480º Country ELO ranking 470º
ELO win probability
55.8%
Tilbury
21.4%
Draw
22.8%
Stanway Rovers FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
Tilbury
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.8%
Win probability
Stanway Rovers FC
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tilbury
+17%
+71%
Stanway Rovers FC

ELO progression

Tilbury
Stanway Rovers FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tilbury
Tilbury
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2023
FFC
Frenford FC
0 - 3
Tilbury
TIL
20%
19%
61%
24 16 8 0
16 Sep. 2023
TAK
Takeley
0 - 3
Tilbury
TIL
61%
20%
19%
22 26 4 +2
13 Sep. 2023
WEN
White Ensign
1 - 1
Tilbury
TIL
54%
20%
26%
22 24 2 0
09 Sep. 2023
TIL
Tilbury
3 - 1
Halstead Town
HAL
22%
21%
57%
20 27 7 +2
28 Aug. 2023
TIL
Tilbury
0 - 2
Romford
ROM
22%
22%
57%
20 27 7 0

Matches

Stanway Rovers FC
Stanway Rovers FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Oct. 2023
STA
Stanway Rovers FC
0 - 1
White Ensign
WEN
34%
22%
44%
22 24 2 0
30 Sep. 2023
ANF
Athletic Newham
3 - 0
Stanway Rovers FC
STA
73%
15%
12%
22 34 12 0
26 Sep. 2023
STA
Stanway Rovers FC
1 - 3
Halstead Town
HAL
33%
23%
44%
23 26 3 -1
16 Sep. 2023
FFC
Frenford FC
3 - 2
Stanway Rovers FC
STA
17%
18%
65%
24 14 10 -1
12 Sep. 2023
STA
Stanway Rovers FC
4 - 0
Ilford FC
ILF
60%
21%
19%
23 18 5 +1