Tilbury vs Heybridge Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
YEL
4 - 2
TIL
61%
19%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
TIL
3 - 0
HUL
84%
11%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TIL
2 - 0
CTF
49%
24%
27%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MAL
4 - 2
TIL
72%
15%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
STO
1 - 4
TIL
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Heybridge Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 0
HEY
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
ROM
0 - 7
HEY
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
HEY
0 - 5
YEL
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HEY
3 - 2
GRE
65%
19%
17%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
HEY
2 - 2
HAY
11%
17%
71%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | +2 |