Tilbury vs Cheshunt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
4 - 2
TIL
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
TIL
1 - 0
HAR
65%
19%
15%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TIL
1 - 1
BRE
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
POT
0 - 2
TIL
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TIL
1 - 0
WAL
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cheshunt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 0
HEY
33%
24%
44%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 2
CHE
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CHE
1 - 0
YEL
44%
23%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
WAL
2 - 2
CHE
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ROM
0 - 0
CHE
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |