Tijuana vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
TIJ
1 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
TIG
1 - 0
TIJ
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
JUA
0 - 0
TIJ
26%
26%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
TIJ
2 - 1
CHI
47%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
TIJ
2 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 3
JUA
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 1
TOL
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
61%
22%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CAZ
2 - 2
TOL
37%
28%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |