Liga MX Apertura Round 11

Tigres UANL vs Toluca analysis

Tigres UANL Toluca
84 ELO 84
-7.2% Tilt -12%
363º General ELO ranking 328º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.6%
Tigres UANL
25.5%
Draw
31.9%
Toluca

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
Tigres UANL
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.9%
Win probability
Toluca
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tigres UANL
+2%
+18%
Toluca

Points and table prediction

Tigres UANL
Their league position
Toluca
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
11º
21
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
América
40
40
100%
Monterrey
33
33
100%
Tigres UANL
30
30
100%
Pumas UNAM
28
28
100%
Chivas Guadalajara
27
27
100%
Puebla
25
25
100%
Atl. San Luis
23
23
100%
León
23
23
0%
Santos Laguna
23
23
0%
Mazatlán
10º
22
22
10º
0%
Pachuca
11º
22
22
11º
0%
Toluca
12º
21
21
12º
100%
Tijuana
13º
20
20
13º
100%
Querétaro
14º
19
19
14º
100%
FC Juárez
15º
18
18
15º
100%
Cruz Azul
16º
17
17
16º
0%
Atlas Fútbol Club
17º
17
17
17º
0%
Necaxa
18º
15
15
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tigres UANL
Toluca
Final Series
100% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Tigres UANL
Toluca
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tigres UANL
Tigres UANL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2023
MAZ
Mazatlán
2 - 3
Tigres UANL
TIG
27%
27%
46%
84 72 12 0
28 Sep. 2023
LAN
Los Angeles FC
0 - 0
Tigres UANL
TIG
61%
21%
18%
84 86 2 0
24 Sep. 2023
TIG
Tigres UANL
3 - 0
Monterrey
MON
45%
26%
29%
84 84 0 0
18 Sep. 2023
ATS
Atlas Fútbol Club
2 - 0
Tigres UANL
TIG
36%
28%
36%
84 81 3 0
03 Sep. 2023
TIG
Tigres UANL
5 - 0
Querétaro
QRO
63%
23%
15%
84 74 10 0

Matches

Toluca
Toluca
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2023
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
Chivas Guadalajara
CHI
64%
20%
16%
84 81 3 0
24 Sep. 2023
TOL
Toluca
1 - 1
América
AME
51%
23%
27%
84 84 0 0
16 Sep. 2023
TIJ
Tijuana
2 - 1
Toluca
TOL
20%
24%
56%
84 72 12 0
03 Sep. 2023
TOL
Toluca
5 - 0
Pachuca
PAC
54%
22%
24%
84 84 0 0
31 Aug. 2023
TOL
Toluca
1 - 0
Monterrey
MON
57%
22%
21%
84 84 0 0