Tigres UANL vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
CSH
2 - 2
TIG
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TIG
2 - 0
ATS
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
LOB
0 - 0
TIG
29%
28%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TIG
1 - 1
AME
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PUM
2 - 0
TIG
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
LOB
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
AME
4 - 1
MOR
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
PUM
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CIM
2 - 0
MOR
24%
25%
50%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
PAC
2 - 3
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |