Tierra Firme vs Atl. Chiriquí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tierra Firme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
PAV
4 - 0
TIE
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AZU
2 - 1
TIE
74%
17%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
DJU
0 - 1
TIE
10%
16%
75%
|
40 | 7 | 33 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NYC
4 - 3
TIE
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
TIE
1 - 3
SUN
46%
24%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
IND
2 - 1
CHI
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
IND
3 - 2
CHI
42%
25%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
IND
45%
28%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
AZU
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 0
MSM
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |