Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Nantong Zhiyun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
8º
8º
9
9º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 67 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
1º
|
27 | 64 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 61 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 59 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 51 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 45 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 43 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 40 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 33 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 32 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 31 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 28 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 28 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 27 |
15º
|
17% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 25 |
16º
|
25.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
TIT
28%
28%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TIT
1 - 1
SHA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
QIN
1 - 4
TIT
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
TIT
2 - 2
CBC
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
WFC
0 - 1
TIT
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Nantong Zhiyun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
SHA
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 2
TIT
28%
28%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MEI
0 - 4
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
SHA
17%
26%
57%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
SHA
10%
22%
68%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |