Conference South Round 42

Thurrock vs Braintree Town analysis

Thurrock Braintree Town
44 ELO 48
1.9% Tilt 4.4%
20765º General ELO ranking 4294º
938º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
32.8%
Thurrock
25.8%
Draw
41.4%
Braintree Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
Thurrock
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.4%
Win probability
Braintree Town
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Thurrock
Braintree Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thurrock
Thurrock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2009
NEW
Newport County
1 - 1
Thurrock
THU
67%
19%
14%
41 49 8 0
13 Apr. 2009
THU
Thurrock
1 - 3
Bishops Stortford
BIS
33%
26%
42%
43 50 7 -2
10 Apr. 2009
WEL
Welling United
0 - 0
Thurrock
THU
61%
21%
18%
43 50 7 0
04 Apr. 2009
BAS
Basingstoke Town
1 - 0
Thurrock
THU
47%
25%
28%
44 47 3 -1
31 Mar. 2009
BAT
Bath City
2 - 2
Thurrock
THU
57%
24%
19%
43 53 10 +1

Matches

Braintree Town
Braintree Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2009
STA
St. Albans City
0 - 3
Braintree Town
BRA
49%
24%
27%
48 48 0 0
13 Apr. 2009
BRA
Braintree Town
1 - 2
Chelmsford City
CHM
30%
28%
42%
49 53 4 -1
11 Apr. 2009
HAM
Hampton & Richmond
2 - 1
Braintree Town
BRA
64%
21%
15%
49 59 10 0
07 Apr. 2009
BRA
Braintree Town
2 - 0
Fisher FC
FIS
69%
20%
11%
49 27 22 0
04 Apr. 2009
BAT
Bath City
3 - 2
Braintree Town
BRA
45%
28%
27%
49 53 4 0