Thurrock vs Bognor Regis Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2007 |
STA
0 - 5
THU
61%
21%
18%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 0
THU
48%
25%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
THU
0 - 5
HAM
32%
26%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
HAV
3 - 0
THU
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
THU
2 - 0
WEL
36%
26%
38%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Bognor Regis Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2007 |
BOG
1 - 3
BAT
24%
27%
49%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
WES
3 - 2
BOG
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
BOG
0 - 2
EAS
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
MAI
1 - 2
BOG
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2007 |
BOG
0 - 5
LEW
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |