Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
45.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
STG
3 - 2
THU
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2020 |
THU
1 - 0
YOB
11%
18%
71%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
NEX
2 - 1
THU
42%
25%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
THU
3 - 0
KRI
57%
21%
22%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
FCA
1 - 1
THU
32%
23%
45%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2020 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LUG
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2020 |
STG
0 - 4
ZUR
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2020 |
YOB
3 - 2
ZUR
70%
17%
12%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2020 |
SCH
0 - 6
ZUR
9%
15%
76%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2020 |
ZUR
5 - 1
FCA
65%
19%
16%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |