Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FCL
0 - 0
THU
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
THU
1 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
THU
4 - 0
SIO
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
THU
1 - 1
SER
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 2
THU
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ZUR
3 - 1
SIO
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
WIL
2 - 4
ZUR
24%
22%
54%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ZUR
4 - 0
YOB
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
ZUR
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ZUR
2 - 0
LAU
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |