Thun vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
THU
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
THU
5 - 1
STG
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
BAS
5 - 1
THU
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
THU
1 - 0
SPA
52%
25%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 4
BAS
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GCZ
1 - 0
ZUR
50%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
ZUR
2 - 1
BIF
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ZUR
3 - 0
STG
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
32%
26%
42%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |