Thun vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
THU
1 - 3
SIO
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
THU
0 - 1
ZUR
28%
25%
48%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
THU
3 - 1
STG
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
FCL
1 - 2
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
FCA
4 - 1
FCL
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
FCL
0 - 0
SCH
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
GCZ
5 - 0
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
FCL
3 - 1
GCZ
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |