Thun vs Lausanne Sports analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
4º
9º
6º
61
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
THU
28%
24%
48%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BUL
0 - 4
THU
13%
17%
70%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FCV
2 - 4
THU
45%
24%
31%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
THU
2 - 2
FCA
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
YVE
3 - 1
THU
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Lausanne Sports
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 1
FCV
41%
25%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCG
0 - 4
LAU
4%
9%
87%
|
67 | 7 | 60 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
NEX
0 - 1
LAU
21%
25%
54%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
LAU
0 - 0
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 2
LAU
44%
25%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |