Thun vs FC Vaduz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
BIE
1 - 1
THU
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
LUG
1 - 2
THU
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
THU
5 - 3
YVE
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
LAC
0 - 1
THU
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
THU
3 - 0
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Vaduz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FCV
1 - 0
STA
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2009 |
SLI
2 - 0
FCV
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
YVE
3 - 0
FCV
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2009 |
FCV
0 - 1
SLI
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
FCV
2 - 0
BIE
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |