Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
55%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ZUR
2 - 1
THU
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
THU
0 - 1
SIO
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
THU
5 - 1
CHI
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
THU
2 - 0
WIN
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2017 |
THU
1 - 2
SCH
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCL
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
YOB
2 - 0
BAS
49%
22%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 2
SCP
48%
23%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
BAS
3 - 2
ATH
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |