Thun vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
THU
2 - 0
FCA
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
THU
3 - 1
STG
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2005 |
ZUR
6 - 3
THU
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
NEX
0 - 0
THU
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
THU
1 - 1
YOB
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 0
SCH
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
BAS
2 - 0
NEX
77%
15%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
GCZ
4 - 1
BAS
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 1
STG
71%
17%
12%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
67%
19%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |