Thun II vs Langenthal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 3
THU
19%
19%
62%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
THU
0 - 0
BAS
64%
18%
17%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
THU
5 - 2
DUL
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 4
THU
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
THU
0 - 0
MOU
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Langenthal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LAN
3 - 2
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
LER
1 - 1
LAN
17%
20%
63%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
OLT
2 - 2
LAN
15%
19%
66%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 2
SCH
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
1 - 1
FCK
72%
16%
12%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |