Thun II vs FC Muri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-63%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
10º
16º
13º
12
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CON
4 - 2
THU
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCC
3 - 1
THU
44%
22%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
THU
3 - 3
BLA
23%
24%
53%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
THU
39%
23%
39%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
THU
3 - 3
MUT
41%
22%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FC Muri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 3
BLA
14%
18%
69%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 1
FCM
63%
19%
18%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FCM
0 - 5
MUT
21%
20%
59%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RTK
3 - 0
FCM
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FCM
1 - 1
WOH
31%
22%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |