Thun II vs Dornach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 1
THU
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 3
OLD
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCZ
3 - 2
THU
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
THU
1 - 1
WAN
57%
20%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MUN
3 - 0
THU
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dornach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
OLD
2 - 4
DOR
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
DOR
1 - 1
WAN
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TUG
3 - 0
DOR
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BAD
3 - 2
DOR
69%
19%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SOL
1 - 2
DOR
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |