Thun II vs Bümpliz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 2
THU
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
THU
6 - 1
HAR
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SIE
0 - 2
THU
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
THU
3 - 0
DUR
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
FCK
1 - 1
THU
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bümpliz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
BUM
3 - 2
ESB
76%
15%
9%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
BUM
2 - 1
FCK
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +3 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 3
BUM
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BUM
4 - 0
HAR
52%
22%
25%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
SIE
2 - 2
BUM
39%
24%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |