Combined Counties Football League Northern League One. Jor. 38

Thornaby vs Whitley Bay analysis

Thornaby Whitley Bay
24 ELO 31
-9.1% Tilt -4.3%
30885º General ELO ranking 9205º
1120º Country ELO ranking 498º
ELO win probability
25.3%
Thornaby
21.5%
Draw
53.2%
Whitley Bay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
Thornaby
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
53.2%
Win probability
Whitley Bay
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Thornaby
Whitley Bay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Thornaby
Thornaby
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
ASH
Ashington AFC
3 - 0
Thornaby
THO
75%
15%
11%
22 33 11 0
10 Apr. 2023
THO
Thornaby
1 - 1
Redcar Athletic
RAF
33%
22%
46%
22 25 3 0
08 Apr. 2023
THO
Thornaby
1 - 1
West Allotment Celtic
CEL
24%
21%
56%
20 28 8 +2
05 Apr. 2023
THO
Thornaby
0 - 1
Sunderland RCA
SUN
48%
22%
31%
18 17 1 +2
29 Mar. 2023
CRO
Crook Town AFC
0 - 1
Thornaby
THO
45%
22%
33%
18 18 0 0

Matches

Whitley Bay
Whitley Bay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
WHI
Whitley Bay
0 - 2
Heaton Stannington
HEA
50%
21%
29%
30 29 1 0
07 Apr. 2023
WHI
Whitley Bay
1 - 0
Ashington AFC
ASH
26%
21%
54%
25 35 10 +5
04 Apr. 2023
WHI
Whickham
0 - 0
Whitley Bay
WHI
54%
21%
25%
25 28 3 0
01 Apr. 2023
WHI
Whitley Bay
0 - 3
Northallerton Town
NOR
78%
13%
9%
27 18 9 -2
01 Apr. 2023
NEW
Newton Aycliffe
3 - 1
Whitley Bay
WHI
74%
15%
11%
26 36 10 +1
X