Thonon Évian vs Auxerre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
15º
4º
41
2º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
THO
1 - 1
SPO
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
JUR
1 - 1
THO
69%
18%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
THO
1 - 1
OLY
48%
23%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 2
THO
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
THO
2 - 1
SAI
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Auxerre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
JUR
1 - 0
AUX
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AUX
4 - 2
AUB
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LYO
1 - 1
AUX
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AUX
0 - 0
SÈT
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AUX
2 - 0
SPO
52%
26%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |