Thonon Évian vs Ain Sud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
THO
4 - 0
CHA
68%
18%
15%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
OVA
3 - 1
THO
9%
15%
76%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | -5 |
Matches
Ain Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
AIN
3 - 2
LIM
30%
24%
46%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
AIN
2 - 1
LPF
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LIM
3 - 2
AIN
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
AIN
1 - 0
AUR
49%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AIN
0 - 0
CHA
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |