Thisted vs Marienlyst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
THI
0 - 0
VAR
70%
17%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SYD
4 - 3
THI
22%
21%
57%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
THI
2 - 1
KOL
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
MID
2 - 3
THI
27%
22%
51%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
THI
2 - 2
SVE
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marienlyst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 2
SKI
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 3
MAR
26%
22%
52%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
BRA
54%
22%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SYD
1 - 2
MAR
25%
22%
54%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
SKI
26%
22%
53%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |