Thimphu City vs Nangpa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thimphu City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
THC
0 - 0
YFC
34%
23%
43%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
THC
2 - 1
DZO
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
THC
2 - 0
TRU
59%
21%
21%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
DRU
1 - 1
THC
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
NFC
0 - 4
THC
11%
18%
72%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Nangpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
NFC
2 - 1
DZO
28%
23%
49%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TRU
5 - 2
NFC
88%
9%
4%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
NFC
0 - 19
DRU
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
YFC
16 - 0
NFC
89%
8%
3%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
NFC
0 - 4
THC
11%
18%
72%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | -1 |