Thika United vs Gor Mahia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
68.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thika United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
KAS
3 - 0
THI
68%
19%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
THI
0 - 1
VIU
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AFC
2 - 0
THI
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
THI
1 - 3
WAZ
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SON
3 - 1
THI
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Gor Mahia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
USM
2 - 1
GOR
58%
21%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GOR
2 - 0
AFC
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
SOF
0 - 3
GOR
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 2
RAY
84%
13%
4%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
GOR
1 - 0
CHE
73%
19%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |