The New Saints vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
TNS
4 - 1
CEF
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 3
TNS
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2006 |
TNS
2 - 0
HAV
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
TNS
3 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 1
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
LLA
2 - 2
NEW
80%
14%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
LLA
3 - 1
CAE
73%
16%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
LLA
0 - 0
WEL
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
LLA
2 - 2
POR
75%
16%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
0 - 3
LLA
32%
24%
44%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |