UCL Qualifying First round Final
Global 0-6
The New Saints vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
49.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 0
TNS
66%
21%
12%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
TNS
1 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
POR
2 - 2
TNS
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
HAV
0 - 0
TNS
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 1
TNS
40%
25%
36%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 0
TNS
66%
21%
12%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 3
ACM
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASV
53%
25%
22%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ARS
3 - 1
LIV
74%
17%
10%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2005 |
LIV
1 - 0
CHL
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |