Q. Europa League 4th Round Final
Global 2-5
The New Saints vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
CSK
3 - 0
TNS
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2010 |
TNS
5 - 2
PRE
77%
15%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2010 |
AND
3 - 0
TNS
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
TNS
1 - 3
AND
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
TNS
4 - 0
BOH
39%
25%
37%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CSK
1 - 0
CVA
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2010 |
CSK
3 - 0
TNS
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
VID
2 - 2
CSK
21%
27%
52%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
CSK
1 - 2
CHB
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 2
CSK
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |