The New Saints vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TNS
7 - 0
LLA
86%
9%
4%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
TNS
4 - 0
BAR
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 3
TNS
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
CEF
0 - 2
TNS
18%
22%
60%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
TNS
4 - 0
CEF
78%
14%
7%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
GUI
4 - 2
CAR
23%
25%
52%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAR
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
18%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |