The Lakes vs Bayside United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Lakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 4
TLA
41%
22%
37%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 1
TLA
25%
20%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TLA
0 - 2
GEO
45%
21%
34%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
WES
0 - 2
TLA
8%
14%
78%
|
34 | 15 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAY
5 - 2
TLA
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Bayside United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
STO
7 - 5
BAY
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TOO
0 - 3
BAY
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 3
BAY
14%
18%
68%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ALB
1 - 1
BAY
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAY
5 - 2
TLA
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |