The Gap vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
The Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GAP
0 - 2
NPI
68%
16%
15%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BRK
0 - 3
GAP
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GAP
1 - 5
GRA
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
STO
3 - 4
GAP
50%
21%
29%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ACA
1 - 2
GAP
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 2
TAR
53%
21%
26%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
2 - 3
CAB
63%
18%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
0 - 1
ALB
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
NPI
0 - 1
UNI
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
BRK
65%
17%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |