SC St. Tönis vs Meerbusch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
44.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
10º
18º
10º
31
5º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 73 |
1º
|
95.5% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 66 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 62 |
3º
|
63% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 57 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 56 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 56 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 54 |
7º
|
43.5% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 47 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 46 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 46 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 41 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 40 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 40 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
6.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 35 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 35 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 33 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 32 |
18º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 35.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC St. Tönis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SON
2 - 0
TEU
63%
20%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
TEU
2 - 3
NET
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
HIL
4 - 0
TEU
79%
15%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TEU
0 - 1
STR
26%
21%
53%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
KLE
1 - 0
TEU
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Meerbusch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 2
HAM
48%
20%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KFC
4 - 3
MEE
70%
17%
13%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 0
VFB
35%
22%
43%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +3 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FCB
1 - 1
MEE
17%
18%
65%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MEE
0 - 3
SCH
38%
21%
41%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |