Ternana Calcio vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
11%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FRO
2 - 0
TER
45%
24%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
TER
3 - 0
GRO
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
ROM
2 - 0
TER
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
TER
1 - 0
PRG
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
COM
0 - 3
TER
17%
22%
62%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
AVE
0 - 1
PAD
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 1
AVE
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
FCS
1 - 0
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
AVE
2 - 0
FCS
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAL
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |