Ternana Calcio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
TER
1 - 1
JUS
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
TER
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
TER
1 - 2
SPE
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
TER
74%
19%
8%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 0
NOV
21%
26%
54%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 3
VIR
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 0
NOV
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 2
CTT
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
REG
1 - 1
NOV
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |