Ternana Calcio vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
TER
1 - 0
VIC
24%
28%
48%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
TER
1 - 0
ALZ
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
FIA
0 - 1
TER
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
GEN
2 - 0
TER
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 2
TER
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
VER
2 - 0
LEC
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
LEC
3 - 1
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
LEC
2 - 2
ACM
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
FIA
1 - 4
LEC
27%
26%
48%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
LEC
3 - 0
FIA
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |